May 15 2009, 10:56AM
About that "Energy Independence" President Carter...
Oh how I love the daffy honesty of Jimmy Carter. I was in fifth or
sixth grade when he introduced me to the highly advanced concept of
"lust in the heart," later followed by understanding the macroeconomic
impact of "wearing a sweater." (I'm not belittling those concepts--in
the long run neither can be ignored.) And it was he who followed
Nixon's lead and told the US that we needed to change the way we used
energy.
Carter's presidency is often described as either profoundly unlucky or
failed, but on the subject of energy his impact had the stuff of
greatness, which unfortunately arrived long after he left office. Since
1973 the US has met 75 % of our new energy needs through energy
efficiency, a profound change in economic productivity that has saved
us money, pollution, and avoided environmental and political risk. He
also ushered in a period of oil conservation that basically knocked the
knees out of OPEC's oil prices from the early 80's to the late 90's,
though another force keeping the oil prices low was the evolution of
the international oil market. If we put presidential faces on household
objects the way we put them on coins, we'd have Jimmy on our gas caps.
Still, every president
avoids doing what he did because they don't want "to end up like Jimmy
Carter."
So I read with dismay about Carter's appearance in front of John
Kerry's Armed Services Committee, where he talked about the need for "energy independence."
Energy
Independence is a political term, but not a reality. The US has 3
percent of the worlds' oil reserves, and we use 24 percent of world's
production with just 4-5 percent of the population. We've been
committed to an industrial policy and a foreign policy built around oil
imports since the 1930's, though we didn't really get into the soup
until Roosevelt struck the Big Deal with Saudi Arabia in the early
1940's. Alternative sources of energy currently make up a pitifully
small part of our energy mix.
There is no strategy I can imagine where
we become "energy independent" (and hey, it's not like we're "deck
chair independent," or "silicon chip independent.") What I can imagine,
and fervently hope for is that we become more competitive, lower
carbon, and more strategic--in that we use alternative fuels and our
own resources to build leverage in energy markets while investing in
research, technology and behavior changes to give us more breathing
room. But to get there we'll need a more productive goal than energy independence.
And while we're at it, we need to look carefully at the international clout we've gained --and the economic and environmental hassles and costs we may have avoided--by being energy dependent.
Nattering on about the glamorous goal of energy independence is a
political way for Jimmy Carter to avoid being Jimmy Carter and telling the bad news.





The link in the side bar to the Oil on the Brain web site is wrong. It should be http://www.oilonthebrain.com , not http://www.oilonthebrain/.
Like many journalists, you seem to be confusing "energy" with "oil". Burning oil is only one way to obtain useful energy, and many of the environmentally sustainable ways to do so are in fact ones in which the U.S. can be self-sufficient. Wind, solar thermal, biomass, wave, and geothermal energy, for starters. Perhaps you should learn something about the subject before presuming to criticize a great American and a first-rate engineer when he argues -- corectly -- that we NEED TO STOP DEPENDING ON FOSSIL FUELS, ESPECIALLY OIL for our energy! In addition to crippling and perverting our foreign policy, enriching loathesome elites in both the U.S. and the Third World, and sucking our economy dry, our dependence on oil (and coal) is KILLING THE PLANET. We have about 20 years left in which to reduce our fossil fuel consumption to essentially zero in order to avoid catastrophic climate change. If you think that's alarmist, why don't you spend a few minutes considering the implications of a two meter rise in sea level, along with three or four successive years of crop failures in South Asia. Think Somalia, on a continental scale, with nuclear weapons. Why don't you learn enough to become part of the solution, instead of snippily and ignorantly criticizing those who are?
Wow. Journalism fail. Less ad-hominem attacks and snarky commentary, more supporting arguments and facts please. This is The Atlantic. Not MSNBC.
I don't think Carter is arguing that we are ever going to be completely energy independent. I think he is arguing, actually about the same thing you are. That we should be a little less reliant on crazy middle east regimes and south american countries for our economic well-being.
And finally, there's this economic analysis that suggests that perhaps we should have started working on this energy independence thing a little sooner.
http://business.theatlantic.com/2009/04/can_the_oil_shock_alone_explain_the_financial_crisis.php