11/23/09 1:35 PM

Wrong Track

17363.jpgThere have always been reasons why some things -- desirable things, important things - don't happen.  It is a question, always, of limits.  Not limits in desirability but limits in capacity.

Over the past year we have determined that some companies - auto companies, investment companies - are "too big to fail".  The depths of their malfeasance have apparently given them protection against the workings of the market.  While wise and careful stewards of smaller businesses have been swept away in the backwash, the giants whose blind grab for riches created the swells have been protected  -- sometimes to the point of new megamillion bonuses - by the rest of us.

We have continued to invest heavily in two wars: in one, of questionable value, the government we've installed and depend on for success remains sadly inept; in the other, the government we've installed is corrupt and incompetent.  Both Iraq and Afghanistan suck up American dollars at a horrendous rate.  To say nothing of the 180,000 private contractors we pay in Iraq alone (often without transparency or accountability) to supplement the heavy U.S. military presence.

Argue for or against the health care proposals being pushed by the President and making their way through Congress, accept or reject the contention that eventually (perhaps while we're still alive) those proposals will reduce, rather than increase, government spending, but in the meantime, the tab will be enormous.

All of this matters because, as the New York Times has reported, by 2019 - tomorrow, for all practical purposes - we will have added half a trillion dollars a year or more to what we'll have to pay just in interest on a national debt that is now more than $12 trillion, the price of, as the Times put it, decades of the United States "living beyond its means."  And, as the paper pointed out - twisting the knife a bit - those additional interest payments on the debt (on top of the $200 billion in interest we now pay) will add up to more than we now spend every year on education, energy, homeland security, and those two never-ending wars, combined.

There are two things to consider here.  The first has to do with the nature of government spending.  That is, the belief that it is the government that will be providing us with new benefits and services.  That, of course, is nonsense.  Government provides nothing because government has nothing.  Every dime the government spends is a dime taken from the pockets of taxpayers (its only source of money) either in taxes or inflation.

The second thing is this: we're now at a point in our economy - houses foreclosed, jobs lost, businesses boarded up - where the people who will get the bill are scraping by themselves.  That's true for the 20 percent of Americans who need help to pay for health insurance and for most of the 80 percent who already have health insurance.  It's true for the people whose lives have been smashed against the rocks of corporate greed emanating from the sewer of Wall Street.

A "wish list" is called that because some of the things on it are things that one cannot, at the moment, afford.  If it were otherwise, it wold be called a "shopping list".  Regardless of which political party controls the government, we seem to get the two lists confused.  To want is to need and to need is to buy.  We would not all make the same choices as to which items belong on which list - some would cut back on the military spending (George Will, among others, has suggested it's time to come home from Afghanistan); others would cut back on the shopping list for various social spending programs.  But the Times had it right.  So did Robert Samuelson, in the Washington Post, when he decried the heavy debt burden being passed on to the younger generation (some gift to give our kids!).

(There are other effects, too, of course; one of them is watching American presidents tiptoe around human rights violations, product ripoffs, subpar exports, etc., to avoid alienating foreign creditors, but that's for another discussion.) 

Partisanship - the non-stop war between the two private clubs that dominate American politics - has made it almost impossible for people of divergent views to hold a serious conversation in which all prospects and problems are put on the table, but it's time.  Everybody is going to have to give up part of the wish list and revise the shopping list. Americans continue to tell pollsters that their country has gotten off on a wrong track. They're right.  It's time we listened to them.

(Photo: Jim Watson/AFP-Getty Images)

11/18/09 12:28 PM

Between Palin and Palinism

15869.jpgSarah Palin is not going away; she may or may not run for office -- for the Senate or the presidency -- but in any case she's going to be a part of the political conversation and, like Ross Perot, may play a major role in shaping candidacies and voter preferences. So what exactly is the nature of the Palin phenomenon?  What are the issues she puts on the table? Let me suggest that there are two.

The first is Palin herself: her skills, her persona, her knowledge, her capacity for learning. There are many for whom this matter is settled: she's a boob or she's shrewd. She has real-world insights or suffers from a form of provincial paranoia. In each case, the conclusions are definitive: she is what she is and she is adored or reviled.

It is far from clear, however, that the electorate as a whole has come to a consensus on the essence of Sarah Palin. As a minor member of the chattering class, and thus reckoned free from the constraints of proof, I offer observation and opinion instead. I have come to no real conclusion myself as to Governor Palin's limits. This is partly because, while I, too, was befuddled by her apparent befuddlement on more than one occasion -- I am quite willing to at least consider any proferred excuse that lays the blame on the hapless presidential campaign that drafted her and sent her forth.

She says it was the campaign that decided to run up mind-boggling bills to outfit her for the national convention and subsequent public appearances; that the decision was not hers. She says that campaign managers told her what to confess, what to deny, and what to stonewall in her public appearances. She says, in effect, that the person we saw last Fall was a puppet whose strings were being pulled by people who were dummies themselves and were running John McCain's campaign for the White House. 

I have no way of knowing how much of this to believe -- McCain insiders deny it all -- but in a long career of watching, and being part of, political campaigns, including those of Ronald Reagan and George H. W. Bush, I have never seen another as inept as the one assembled by John McCain. At times the McCain campaign resembled a poorly-run race for sixth-grade class president. This predisposes me to believe any accusation of stupidity within that dingy and brain-dead quarter. 

This does not excuse Ms. Palin nor prove the accuracy of her explanations, but it certainly places them within the realm of possibility. Not all of them, to be sure. There were certainly a sufficient number of eye-rolling statements coming from Palin's mouth to make it plausible to raise questions about her intellect and to render her at least semi-culpable in the formation of the unfavorable opinion that dogged her days on the campaign trail. What's more -- sorry, Sarah -- if one professes to be strong enough to hold high office, how do we square that with a self-portrayal as a poor helpless victim of mindless string-pullers? What, you couldn't say no? 

But questions about Palin are not the same as questions about Palinism. And if Palinism extends beyond Sarah Palin, herself, as I suspect it may, it is Palinism that will matter most in the elections of 2010 and 2012. 

What is Palinism? It is the suggestion that there is in Middle America a bubbling resentment against what is perceived as elitist snobbery against those who go to community college, shop at Walmart, view non-pet animals as food-in-waiting, read John Grisham novels and go to church on Sunday. It is not (or so I perceive it) a rebellion against affluence or superior education, but against what many in fly-over-land view as condescension and dismissiveness.

I'm not unaware of the tension, having received my own education in the heartland (journalism at the University of Oklahoma, law at Oklahoma City University) but having then taught at Harvard and Princeton for the past sixteen years, I have cheered rodeos as well as applauded in Symphony Hall. One can move in both circles, but Oklahoma and Cambridge are indeed distinct.

This may be disconcerting to some, but my guess is that by actual count (I'm not a statistician), more people shop at Walmart than at Bergdorf-Goodman (although some who don't shop at Walmart are voicing an ethical concern, not looking down their noses at discount goods) and more watch NASCAR than ski at Aspen. Clearly the two worlds can co-exist and political candidates can appeal equally to both (there are similar issues - involving jobs, health care, war - in both Americas) but they co-exist most readily where there is a mutual respect.

Palinism is an in-your-face complaint that one side disrespects the other. It is an assertion that "you betcha" is as valid an assent as "indeed". Barack Obama may have said there is not a liberal America and a conservative America but a single United States of America, but Palinites aren't so sure about that. 
 
Does Palinism extend beyond Palin? Of course, but how far? Majorities in many of the constituencies Palin was thought to represent, instead voted for Barack Obama last November and sent Democrats to Congress. There is no doubt that the grassroots anger at elitism and government activism is real. But is it the anger of a majority or a disgruntled and vocal minority?

Is Sarah Palin the next Ross Perot or the next Ralph Nader? That is the question she places before us. It is not about Sarah Palin but about her charge that we are not one America but two, and that it is the elites who have chosen to make it that way. Whether she is the voice for an angry minority or simply a rogue (as she describes herself, unaware that rogues do not run in packs), we'll find out next year.

(Photo: Mark Hirsch/Getty Images)

11/14/09 3:31 PM

The Test

Eric_Holder_official_portrait.jpgBy deciding to try an admitted terrorist in federal court, Eric Holder is putting American democracy -- and us -- to the test.  

Democracy -- the kind people know in too many other places -- simply means letting the people go to the polls to choose their leaders. But the United States is not just "a democracy"; it's a liberal democracy (that is, one that specifically protects people from government, rather than the other way around) and a constitutional democracy (one in which the precepts and laws are clearly spelled out and binding on everybody from the President to the trash collector).

Our American form of democracy is not about policy but about process: it's about how we make our decisions, under what rules, guided by what principles, committed to what values. The Attorney General has now decided to see whether or not we really believe those words we so casually mouth when we salute the American flag, recite the pledge of allegiance, sing the Star Spangled Banner. We will test whether pinning a flag to a lapel is a paean to American principles or merely to base chauvinism.   

Here's the thing: we hold ourselves out to be a nation fully committed to the rule of law. That is no accident. America's founders were familiar with the power of arbitrary rule. They knew first-hand what it was like to have rulers toss opponents into jail and hold them there forever with no opportunity to defend themselves or to even know what it was they were being accused of. They determined that in America, unlike what Donald Rumsfeld later called "old Europe", people would at least be given an opportunity to try to defend themselves. Perhaps they would then end up in a cell for life or at the end of a rope, but the goal was to ensure that they were guilty before punishment was imposed.

This old-fashioned idea -- the right to defend oneself, no matter how heinous the crimes one is suspected of committing -- is at the root of some of the most important principles guiding American life.  Consider the freedom of the press. In colonial America, it was a crime to bad-mouth a colony's monarch-appointed governor. When New York publisher John Peter Zenger was taken to court for doing just that, a jury decided that guilty or not (he was) no journalist was going to get tossed into the clink for speaking ill of a government official. Want to know why a member of Congress cannot be punished for something he or she says on the House or Senate floor, or why they can't be arrested (except for treason, felony, or breach of peace) while en route to their official duties? Because rulers in the past knew how to get pesky opponents out of the way. So our Founders established a whole set of procedures to ensure that law, not arbitrary rule, would become the American way. The rules we live by today were put in place by a people who knew that the risk of following rules was ultimately less than the risk of capricious command.

Fast forward to the case of Khalid Sheik Mohammed, the man who claims credit for the attacks on September 11, 2001. Despite the Bush Administration's apparent comfort level with holding terrorism suspects forever without charges, the Constitution does not permit such an outcome. Except in the cases of invasion or civil war, the federal government is specifically prohibited from suspending the right of habeas corpus, the most important of all individual rights and the greatest protection against arbitrary government rule. At some point, therefore, Mr. Mastermind was going to face trial. The question was where and under what circumstances. Because military commissions do not afford the level of in-court procedures available in government courtrooms, and because Mohammed, like Timothy McVeigh and Terry Nichols attacked a civilian, rather than a military, target, the constitutionally proper venue for his trial was a federal courtroom.

This raised the question not of constitutional propriety but about such ancillary matters as whether he could be held in an American city, American cells, and American courts without a risk of escape. Whether an American judge could be counted on not to inject his or her own anti-American bias into the proceedings.  Whether or not the nature of American trials would allow Mohammed a stage upon which to perform. Big questions, and fair.

So high are the stakes that one noted commentator, Mark Shields, who is thoughtful and well respected, believed the decision should have been made by the President, not his underling at the Justice Department. But in fact the opposite is true: Mr. Obama is the chief executive but even though Eric Holder was appointed by Obama, he is not the President's Attorney General, but America's (a distinction the hapless Alberto Gonzales failed to understand). In fact, the selection of Bob Bauer to replace Gregory Craig as the chief White House counsel has been criticized, properly, because Bauer is a Democratic (read, political) insider and the last thing we need in the office of legal counsel down the hall from the President is another John Yoo, bending law to suit presidential preferences. Eric Holder knows that this is not a political call, it is a legal and constitutional call, and there, at least until the Supreme Court steps in, the buck stops with him.

As to the questions raised: both mass murders and leaders of vast, heavily-armed criminal enterprises have been tried and convicted in American courts. Our cells hold vicious and charismatic and wily men. Our courts have not been founding wanting. Yet many are fearful. Were the Israelis afraid to put Adolf Eichmann -- responsible for far more deaths than Mohammed -- on trial in Jerusalem? America itself was not afraid to put Ramzi Yousef and other terrorists who carried out the 1993 World Trade Center bombing on trial in New York (they were convicted).

Perhaps the worst fears of some will be realized; perhaps the trial of Khalid Sheik Mohammed will be disrupted or disruptive; perhaps he will be set free. The chances are slim indeed, but if one imagines worst-case scenarios, one must still ask whether that "worst case" is worse than turning our backs on our system on laws and the process guarantees of a free society. On that one, count me with Eric Holder.


(Photo: Official Portrait/U.S. Department of Justice)

11/09/09 4:20 PM

Aah, Certitude!

89717.jpgWhen one plays for high stakes, the palms get sweaty, the mouth goes dry, the heart pumps faster. The brain may become foggy or focused but the risk of choking, making a wrong move, grows as the tension mounts. But of course that depends on one's recognizing that it's a high-stake game.

In ordinary circumstances, a legislative showdown like last weekend's House vote on changes in the nation's health care system would have set many a legislator's nerves tingling in anticipation and dread. No matter how strongly one believed that the path chosen was the right one, it would be hard to escape the knowledge that there might be a price to be paid for supporting - or opposing - such a monumental restructuring. In John F. Kennedy's classic, "Profiles in Courage," senators were deemed courageous precisely because they acted in accordance with their own values or judgments, fully cognizant of the fact that in doing so they placed at risk their own careers.

Ironically, both those who voted for the legislation Nancy Pelosi took to the House floor and those who vigorously opposed it not only believed themselves correct in their positions (that is usually the case, since few legislators actually vote against their own beliefs regardless of political science "re-election" theory), they also seemed certain that they were doing precisely what the populace wanted them to do.

Liberals did not vote to reshape the health care delivery and financing systems because they believed they knew better than the voters what the country needed; they believed they were doing exactly what the voters demanded. Many, in fact, believed they were likely to be punished at the polls if they failed to deliver such reforms. Some thought the public demanded even more.  And on the other side, conservatives rejoiced in the strongly-held belief that liberals would be soundly repudiated for their action and lose their majorities in both the House and Senate; to Republicans, the health care vote seemed a godsend that would return them to power.

For nearly a year, observers had watched as polls showed first one opinion then another about every major element in the health care debate: the public demanded or resisted a government-run program to compete with private insurance companies; voters worried that the Obama-Pelosi proposals would increase the deficit or believed they would finally reduce both the deficit and health care costs. Inside the Congress, however, all players believed what they wanted to believe. Saturday night, Democrats locked in their control of government or handed the future to Republicans; Republicans gloated as Democrats overplayed their hand and prepared to regain power or they merely sealed the GOP's reputation as the party of "no". In either case, there is no hand-wringing: oblivious to the possibility of having misread the electorate, both sides march forward with the confidence only certitude can bring. 

(Photo: Jim Watson/Getty Images)

11/06/09 1:34 PM

On Civil War

lal.JPGAs a guest on an NPR talk show, discussing the election results in New York's 23d Congressional District, I was asked to offer my perspective on the likely impact of the challenge mounted by "tea party" conservatives against the woman selected by local party leaders to run as the official Republican nominee.  A theme ran through the conversation and through the calls from listeners: the Republican nominee was "a moderate"; the Republicans who opposed her were part of a disturbingly right-wing fringe; and the challenge was an ominous portent of a looming intra-party civil war aimed at driving responsible Republicans from the party.

Repeated often, such themes take on a life of their own.  Over the past week, I have given speeches on college campuses from South Carolina to New Jersey and heard the same refrain over and over.  As one who has been openly critical of the intellectually barren right and its unforgiving litmus tests, I felt a certain affinity with those who feared for what such an insistence on undeviating "purity" might mean. I've worried about that myself.

And yet at some point one must be fair. So three observations:

First, while it is true that many on the right (and on the left, but more on that later) demand conformity to their views, with disdain and hostility toward "moderates," in this case, the uprising was not against a moderate.  Dede Scozzafava ain't no Olympia Snowe, she's not a Nancy Johnson, not another Chris Shays.  There are party members who catch some grief within the ranks because they are less conservative than many of their Republican colleagues, but Scozzafava is not one of them. She is not a moderate; she's a liberal, well to the left of many members of the House Democratic Caucus. While that is not a knock (being a liberal is not a sin) it's not thoroughly inappropriate for a political party--if we must have them--to draw the line somewhere; otherwise party has no meaning at all.  Those who believe parties serve a purpose (something I seriously doubt) are within their rights to believe that while one may differ on several issues, there is, at some point, such a thing as too much.  It may be true that Republican conservatives intend to drive out their own moderate voices, but Scozzofava is not a good test case.

Second, while the Conservative Party candidate, Doug Hoffman, was indeed supported by some certifiable loonies--Rush Limbaugh and Glenn Beck come to mind--they were not the only people who concluded that Hoffman was more representative than Scozzafava of the Republican perspective.  Limbaugh, Beck, Sarah Palin, and others drew much of the attention (to this day I know very little of what Hoffman himself stood for; all the news was about comments by his supporters) but Tim Pawlenty, while he is a conservative, is no crazy; he has been a successful and highly-regarded governor; the same is true of Tom Cole, the former chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee.  Perhaps if the Palins, Limbaughs, and Becks had kept their distance and kept their mouths shut, and had just let the campaign play out, with Scozzafava's views becoming more apparent over time, the 23d would have elected Hoffman who would today be caucusing with Republicans.

Finally, and most disturbing in retrospect, is the way in which a battle between Republicans over a party nomination was considered a sign of malignancy and impending party dissolution.  Such struggles are not new within the GOP (conservative Jeff Bell knocked off incumbent Republican Senator Clifford Case in a primary; Republican Senator Charles Goodell was knocked off by conservative James Buckley; Senator Barry Goldwater's nomination for President came after a furious intraparty struggle between Goldwater conservatives and the more liberal Rockefeller-Romney-Scranton wing of the party) and the GOP survived each of those confrontations, just as it later survived the 1976 convention showdown between Ronald Reagan and Gerald Ford. It happens. (Full disclosure: when I was first elected to Congress, it was after a hotly-contested Republican primary between one side that was considered more conservative and one that was thought to be less so, and both sides, mine and my opponent's, brought in noted speakers from outside the state in support of our candidacies; in the years that followed, the party grew stronger, not weaker).

But that lack of historical perspective is not what most bothers me.  It is that many of the voices who have used the Hoffman-Scozzafava race as a hook to accuse the Republican Party of intolerance for dissent are likely the same people who cheered on Ned Lamont when he ran against, and defeated, fellow Democrat Joe Lieberman in Connecticut and howled in anger when Lieberman chose to continue running, as an independent, rather than simply disappearing as they hoped.  Some were probably among those Democrats who refused to allow Pennsylvania Governor Bob Casey to speak at a national convention because he was pro-life, or who cheered this year when MoveOn.Org raised more than $3.5 million to run primary challenges against Democrats who blocked passage of a health care publc option, and threatened campaigns to remove Democrats in Congress from their committee chairmanships if they didn't play the game.  Perhaps these assaults against the GOP come from liberals who loved MoveOn's attacks on Democratic Senators Blanche Lincoln and Mary Landrieu, or FireDogLake.Com's campaign to unseat Harry Reid if Reid did not come through as they hoped in the health care debates.  Like Howard Dean who insisted that he alone represented the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party, Democrats have shown the same capacity for demanding a toe-the-line conformity they now find so appalling among Republicans.

Let there be no accusations that I embrace the anti-Scozzafava campaign; as I have written on this site before, there is plenty to criticize in Scozzava's selection, in her campaign, and in the effort by outsiders to overturn the decision of local party officials, and probably in many other aspects of the Battle of the 23d.  But it is important to treat the issues raised more objectively than has been the case to date. Perhaps that is a conclusion with which Joe Lieberman might have cause to concur.

Photo Credit: Flickr User clarkmackey

 

10/31/09 1:31 PM

A Battle for the GOP's Sole

shoe sole.JPGTo some, the election contest in New York's 23rd Congressional District is a thing of high drama, with the advocates of competing political perspectives engaged in a mighty struggle to shape the outlines of a resurgent Republican Party.  It is a battle, we are told, for the very soul of the GOP.  The truth is, it's more like a battle for the party's sole, a low-minded race to the political bottom.

The part of that race that has captured the greatest attention is the Republican "primary."  One of the candidates in this sad story is running on the Republican Party ticket and the other as the nominee of the "Conservative Party" but that's a technicality: in a real sense, it's an intra-party fight being waged between high-profile Republicans (and, in the grand tradition of a circular firing squad, one that might well result in the election of the Democratic candidate, Bill Owens, who is the likely beneficiary of the Republican blood-letting and would have no prayer of victory without it).

These are the camps.  On the one hand, those who support the official Republican Party candidate, Scozzofava, despite her open support of positions anathema to many Republican activists--gay marriage, abortion, eliminating secret ballots for workers pressured to join a labor union. In Scozzofava's corner are a peculiar band of Republicans who seem not to care a whit for who she is or what she believes. Like Newt Gingrich, one of her more prominent supporters, they care nothing about issues, values, philosophy of government, or any other similarly trivial concern. No matter what she believes, they believe she can win. And all they care about in this perpetual war between the political version of the Jets and Sharks is victory, no matter to what purpose. It is triumph, and its attendant spoils, that define the game.

Then there are those who do care about views, values, philosophies, ideas, directions, priorities, and the like. Unlike the Gingrich crowd, which is single-minded in its pursuit of the spoils of political war, these people, supporting the "conservative" alternative to the Republican candidate, are more high-minded.  So high-minded, in fact, that they not only believe strongly, they believe others should believe strongly, too, and in exactly the same ways. Whereas the Gingrich crowd is without scruple, the Sarah Palin-Tim Pawlenty crowd which is supporting Doug Hoffman has nothing but scruple, and apparently believes in its scruples so fervently that no departure from them is to be tolerated. To them, a Republican who supports "choice" in abortion or state-sanctioned relationships between gay couples is no Republican at all, despite the fact that the founders of the modern conservative movement were strongly libertarian in their belief that what people did in their private lives was, for the most part, none of the government's, or their neighbors', business.

To be clear, so long as we live with a political system dominated by two rival power-seeking private clubs, it is perfectly acceptable - even appropriate - to battle over the kinds of candidates one's club will put forth.  In my own first race for Congress I was endorsed by national conservatives who raised money for my campaign and came to Oklahoma to speak on my behalf during a hotly-contested party primary.  But the Republican Party also supported far more liberal candidates in those communities which shared their values (one, Silvio Conte, a liberal from western Massachusetts, became the ranking Republican on the House Appropriations Committee and a de facto member of the party leadership; when Conte walked onto the House floor for votes, Republican whips would point out the party's position but in some cases suggest that he would probably want to vote differently).  Where the campaign in New York departs from either of those models is in the extreme positions staked out by the two rival camps: on the one hand, those who, in the tradition of "yellow dog Democrats", who would vote for a dog if it were of the right party, there is the Gingrich band which is committed to party dominance and nothing else; on the other, the Palin brand of Republican with its checklist of "acceptable" positions and its intolerance for diversity.

This, then, is the battle for the GOP's "soul" - a war between "no principle" and "no diversity".  If this election is truly a microcosm of the "debates" within the Republican brain, perhaps Joe the Plumber was not as unrepresentative of the party's intellectual center as I had hoped.

Thumbnail image for Thumbnail image for Dede Scozzafava.JPGUPDATE:  Dede Scozzafava is now gone (though sure to remain as the answer to trivia questions) and presumably gone from the Republican Party as well, having apparently decided that her detractors were right all along and that she's more in tune with Democrats than with the GOP.  The question is whether local party loyalists, many of whom stuck with her despite misgivings, will follow her across the political aisle and vote for the Democratic candidate, whom she has now endorsed.  The race is close enough that if even a few of her small number of supporters decide to cross over, the Democrats may well succeed in picking up another formerly Republican seat.  The White House will proclaim it a victory for the Obama-Pelosi agenda; a better read would be to cast it as a weird anomaly (emphasis on "weird") reflecting the struggle by Republicans to decide what face they want to present to a country that has turned its back on them. 

This race won't decide that question; it'll be fought out again and again (it's happening now in Florida), just as it has happened for decades as party activists try to decide whether they are Republicans first or conservatives first -- and if they are "conservatives" first, what, exactly, is a conservative?  The GOP may not be much for governance, but it makes for great theater!


Photo Credit: Flickr User Robert S. Donovan and wikimedia commons


10/28/09 1:16 PM

America's Unfriendly Ghost

ghost=deficit.JPGIn "Fool," his absurdist Shakespearean knock-off, Christopher Moore begins with a who's who: there are Lear and Cornwall, Kent and Regan, Goneril and the Witches Three. And a ghost. As Moore puts it, "there's always a bloody ghost.

There is always, it seems, a ghost: a ghost who hovers, spooks, warns, and wraps its spectral arms around the unfolding action, foiling the players' plans and driving the story straight toward a cliff.

In America, that ghost is the deficit.  Or if you prefer to think big and long-term, the national debt.  We've long since crossed the line between millions and billions and trillions, with an annual deficit well over a trillion dollars and the accumulated debt nearly $12 trillion.  Where is it that this particular ghost--no cartoon--is driving us?

Donald Rumsfeld, defending his Iraq War decisions, argued that one goes to war with the army one has, not the army one might wish for, and there is considerable doubt whether we can now come up with the cash to build the army he would have liked.  Up-front costs of proposed health care legislation cause conservatives - and not only conservatives - to gag.  With mounting needs for infrastructure repair, wars that go on and on, and an out-of-control Wall Street sucking up billions of taxpayers' dollars (hey, somebody has to pay for the bonuses), the current national deficit disorder is not a deficit of attention but a heightened attentiveness to a financial shortfall that constrains current capacity and paints a Shakespearean gloom over the future.

The Congress, which has its own attention deficit disorder, often forgets that it has promised, repeatedly, to bring spending under control. Rules requiring a dollar of spending reduction for every dollar in spending increase, like those famous "sunset" provisions designed to prevent programs from living forever, are simply ignored when it comes time to make hard choices. Like the majestic redwood tree, government knows but one imperative: to grow.

This is not to pass judgment on any particular proposal but to suggest that it is the way of children to pretend that one can have it all. If one wishes to argue that a national health care plan is a moral imperative, he or she must be willing to suggest that something else on the table is less so and can be cut back to meet the moral imperative. If one argues that the army we have is inadequate for a nation that must be prepared to combat not only the Iraqi insurgency, al Qaeda, and the re-energized Taliban, but must also be capable of countering emerging threats from Iran, North Korea, or any other hostile quarter, one must also be resigned to dropping another program to a lower spot on the priority list.

I found during my years in Congress that such choosing is not something many are good at. Liberals, maintaining solidarity, fought against cuts, or even holding the line, on a whole host of projects they considered important responsibilities of government. Conservatives did the same thing, with only the list of priorities differing (conservatives were far more likely to complain about the deficit while liberals were too inclined to dismiss it as money we owed to ourselves, but many conservatives were hard-pressed to find any military-related expenditure or business-subsidy program they found expendable). The result: money-saving possibilities become the fuel for ideological and partisan battle rather than impetus for grown-ups to sit down together and search for savings in programs across the board.

Here's the thing: ghosts may seem wispy and ethereal and the temptation is to ignore them. But there are some that we ignore at our own peril. Shakespeare knew it. Many economists know it, too. It's time our political leaders took this ghost seriously because this is not Casper we're dealing with.

Photo Credit: Wikimedia Commons and Flickr User blair christensen

10/23/09 4:38 PM

Obama's Inner Kissinger

44739.jpgFor more than 200 years, America's policy makers have wrestled with the complexities of dealing with the world. George Washington, for example, thought America's best interests were served by keeping the rest of the world at arm's length (a view later amended more than slightly by James Monroe, who reversed the emphasis by insisting that other countries butt out of our business, the definition of "our business" being extended both north and south to include the entirety of "our" hemisphere.

John Adams suffered from a foreign policy heartburn brought about by Thomas Jefferson's stopping just short of declaring that we were all, in our hearts, French. Walter Isaacson, in his biography of Henry Kissinger, traced competing foreign policy perspectives to the idealistic Jefferson ("eternal hostility against any form of tyranny over the mind of man") and a less sentimental Alexander Hamilton, who saw "safety from external danger" as the principal consideration in determining with whom we would engage and how.

And so it has gone through the years. John Kennedy, Walter Mondale and Ronald Reagan all drew on John Winthrop and the Bible to declare that America was a "shining city on a hill" sending out its beams to the rest of the planet, Reagan playing the pivotal role in creating a National Endowment for Democracy. Reagan edited George Kennan's long-standing "containment policy" toward the Soviet Union and replaced it with a "rollback" campaign, which mixed the Hamiltonian pursuit of security with Jefferson's anti-tyranny crusade. Jimmy Carter pushed for greater international respect for human rights. Even George W. Bush, who was inexplicably cavalier toward civil liberties in the United States, insisted on expanding human rights and democracy in the rest of the world, though perhaps too willing to impose, rather than promote.

And so now Barack Obama occupies the place of primacy in deciding the shape of America's international engagement. In a world full of danger, present or emerging, whose form has this new President taken? Henry Kissinger's.

This is a bit of a surprise. One element of Obama's electoral appeal was the clear sense that this was a man of high ideals. There is no question that those ideals existed, and strongly, and that they guided his approach to many of the nation's most vexing problems. If he had not exactly repeated Robert Kennedy's "I dream of things that never were and say, 'why not'", he had at least given a sense of commitment to the better angels.

The thing about the presidency, though, is that one invariably finds issues more complicated than they might have appeared from the campaign trail. Here, while one's heart may echo Jefferson, one's responsibilities make Washington's sense of caution more appealing. Henry Kissinger, Richard Nixon's Secretary of State, is known as the most prominent modern proponent of a "realpolitik" approach toward foreign policy in which, in the end, the most important factor in deciding a national approach to other nations is quite simple: "What is in America's interest"?  

That alone is a difficult question. It was once thought to be in America's "interest" to ally itself with some of the worst dictators on the planet: we not only allied ourselves with, but embraced, the Batistas, the Somozas, the Shahs, the Noriegas, and while those short-term alliances may have been of some use in dealing with Soviet expansionism (a real threat at the time), we have clearly paid a long-term price for such narrowness of purpose. But the world is not easy. One wishes for more democracy, more freedom, more protection from abuse in all the places where these rights are in short supply. But there are other considerations and they necessarily impinge on the decisionmaking process. In that intra-cranial showdown, it now appears that it is the "hard" side, the perceived necessity of setting aside one's empathies, that has captured Barack Obama's thinking.

Obama's "Kissinger" revealed itself first when his Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton went to China and declared that bringing up the unpleasantness of Chinese human rights violations would serve no useful purpose and detract from the importance of finding common ground with Beijing on various international concerns ranging from trade to climate change to North Korean nuclear weaponry (this from a woman who once went to China to protest its discriminatory policies toward women). 

Our hearts may have wanted to protest the suppression of freedoms, say a word for Tibet, complain about the treatment of Uighurs, but the Administration decided it needed China for other things of more immediate concern to us. That has since been followed by a retreat from our previous confrontational approach toward Sudan where Obama now envisions a more positive policy of engagement with a government whose president has been indicted by the International Criminal Court for atrocities in Darfur.

There is no bottom-line conclusion here: in a presidency that is so young, one cannot know whether the soft line taken toward China, Sudan, Russia, and other violators of human liberties will in the end dominate Mr. Obama's foreign policy decisions. But neither can the early signs be ignored. For the moment, it appears, Henry Kissinger is back.

(Photo: Getty Images/Hiroko Masuike)

10/16/09 2:43 PM

Politics

Olympia's 'Betrayal'

snowe_-_alex_wong.jpgFor weeks, as the Senate Finance Committee moved toward a final vote on a health care reform bill, public attention focused sharply on a single member of that committee, Olympia Snowe of Maine.  That focus told us a lot about her: how she came to conclusions, what values motivated her, what life experiences had shaped her.  But now the question is not about Olympia Snowe but about her Republican colleagues.  We know a lot about Olympia; how other Republican Senators react to her departure from the party script will tell us a lot about them. Read More
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